Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Robert Horry - Playoff's Best Ever???


There has been a lot of talk in the past around Robert Horry being the go to guy in playoffs. And rightly so the fella has racked up a massive 7 NBA Championships and earned the nickname 'Big Shot Rob' thanks to his clutch shooting when the games matter.

But is he the player who steps it up in playoffs more than anyone else in history? Lets take a look at the stats to see.

If we look at the efficiency ratings of each player in NBA history there are a number of players who earn their money in the games that matter as compared to the regular season. One of the best was Dick O'Keefe.

Dick who? I hear you ask. O'Keefe was a 6"2' guard who played between 1947 and 1950 for the Washington Capitols. Having played 174 games in total he managed a regular season career with around 5ppg and he shot at 27% from the field and 64% from the line. Really he was just an average player for the league in the regular season where his efficiency rating was a measly 0.55.

But when it came to the playoffs Dick stood up to the challenge. He managed 7.5ppg, 2.5apg, 31% from the field and 88% from the line. He numbers rose quite a bit to give him an efficiency score of 5 in all playoff games.

That is a gigantic rise of 905% from regular season play to playoff games. Should he be known as 'Big Shot Dick'? Firstly I think he should cause it is a funny name, but realistically NAH!! Unfortunately his Capitols only got him to the playoffs twice so all this work I did analysing him was really a waste as his figures were skewed due to his measly games played. (sorry if your reading this Dick)

Some other players who had rose to the occasion like Dick but played a minimal amount of games include James Davis (efficiency rose from 0.33 to 5.03 but played only 36 games in totals, a rise of 1509%), Willi Cunningham rose from 1.78 to 19.69 in his 62 games, which is an increase of 1105% and Paul Long who went from 0.67 in the regular season to 7 in the playoffs for a 1050% increase over his 10 game career.

I have to mention a personal hero of mine Shane Heal, the blonde Australian guard who rose 336% from 1.04 efficiency to 3.5 efficiency in his 51 games. I also have to say I saw him when he played for the Brisbane Bullets in the Australian National Basketball League. He bombed away for 3 to win against the North Melbourne Giants, much to the dissapointment of my buddy MH. Heal for three still rings in his head I know.

But lets get serious, lets look at players who have played at least 50 playoff games and compare them to find out if 'Big Shot Rob' is the best step up player in the league ever.

After completing the analysis I found that Jerome Henderson came out as number 1 with a playoff increase of 587% but I had to remove him from the stats. I wasn't sure if it was true or a mistake in the stats but I saw he played 71 playoff games and only 7 regular season games. I couldn't put him in the review on this basis. If anyone out there knows the truth can you let me know.

But back to Big Shot Horry, after the analysis we find that Robert Horry is a true playoff performer. He stepped up his scoring average by 2ppg in playoffs, nearly 1.5 rebounds per game, 0.5 assists per game, 0.25 steals and he took and made on average a greater number of three's in playoffs than he did in the regular season. This took his regular season efficiency from 10.96 to 14.02, an increase of 128%. This shows that Rob was a playoff performer, he likes the action of the big dance and to be honest was a big reason that the Rockets, Lakers and Spurs won their championships with him on the side.

But he wasn't the biggest jumper from regular to playoff, he slotted in nicely at number 3.

Coming in at number 2 Was Ernie Vandeweghe (Father of Kiki Vandeweghe or Vanden Wedgie as I liked to call him when I played Lakers Vs Celtics on the old PC), whose efficiency rose 149% from 9.99 in the regular season to 14.83 in the playoffs.* He played 224 games in the regular season and 89 in the playoffs for his New York Knicks back in the early 50's. He became a solid scorer in playoffs rising from 9.53 to 15.21ppg, this was on the back of his shooting percentage rising from 42% to 49% and his foul shooting rising from 74% to 86%, It was definitely his offensive presence that made his palyoff value rise. Rebounding and assists stayed fairly static.

Finally the number 1 playoff monster was Kevin Williams. A 6'2" guard from Saint John's University, Kevin was a journey man in his career from 1983 to 1988, but is most remembered for his stint in Seattle. Rising to a total of 311 games he just snuck into this analysis with 51 of them being playoff matches. In playoffs he had an efficiency of 13.67 which was a monster 301% jump from his regular season efficiency of 4.54. During the regular season Kev managed around 5ppg, 1rpg, 1apg with steals and blocks not really worth mentioning, He shot poorly at 43% from the field and not bad at 80% from the line. As as a guard you should be able to shoot but he only managed 2/26 from the arc. Not nearly enough.

In playoffs he was still a bad long range shooter, of his 5 attempts they all were bricks. But it was his overall game that picked up. His 5ppg turned into 11.7ppg, his 1rpg flew up to almost 6rpg, steals were up, blocks were up and his field goal percentage skyrocketed to 54%. Kevin was definitely a playoff star.

The rest of the Top 10 and their increase are as follows:

4. Big Ben Wallace 128%
5. Jaren Jackson 126%
6. Bryon Russell 124%
7. Anfernee (Penny) Hardaway 123%
8. Walter Davis 122%
9. Moses Malone 121%
10. Aaron Mckie 121%

*Please note that the statistics for Ernie Vandeweghe had values for Steals and Blocks for his playoff games only which would have skewed the results slightly.

This article was originally posted on 24/12/2007 on www.onski.blogspot.com

Coach Onski

Photos courtesy of www.basket-plus.com/, www.1960sailors.net/, www.blogs.newsok.com, www.allposters.com/ Statistics thanks to www.databasebasketball.com.

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